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From Iran’s perspective, the decision to operate If it doesnt challenge you poster tankers falls within two interrelated contexts: the first is Tehran’s insistence on breaking the embargo and overcoming US sanctions, whatever the cost, as well as its rejection of America’s starvation policy which Washington is pursuing in the name of “extreme pressure”. The second is Tehran’s conviction that Donald Trump, who is drowning under his failure to manage the coronavirus pandemic, the economic recession and unprecedented unemployment rates, appears to be a lame duck president just months before the next election; he seems to be incapable of taking any serious action. This strategy is definitely a risk on Iran’s part, but it is a calculated risk as part of the attacks on tankers in the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman, as well as the bombing of Aramco facilities in Saudi Arabia’s Khurais and Abqaiq.
